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March 8, 2010

Japan’s Export Rebound Fuels Current Account Rebound

Filed under: legal — Tags: , , — Moon @ 2:15 pm

Japan posted a current-account surplus in January as exports climbed for a second month, an indication overseas demand is sustaining the nation’s recovery.

The gap was 899.8 billion yen ($9.9 billion) from a year earlier, when it was deficit, the Ministry of Finance said in Tokyo today. The median estimate of 26 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 783.9 billion yen surplus.

The report highlights the role overseas shipments have continued to play in propping up the world’s second-largest economy. Further export gains in coming months will prompt businesses to boost spending on plant and equipment, helping support the rebound, according to economist Naoki Iizuka.

“Right now the economy is being pulled by exports and inventory adjustments,” Iizuka, a senior economist at Mizuho Securities Co. in Tokyo, said before the report was released. “Once we enter the second quarter, manufacturers’ capital spending will be a new contributor to the economy’s growth.”

Today’s data adds to signs of sustained expansion in the first quarter. Factory production rose at the fastest pace since May and the unemployment rate fell to a 10-month low in January. The Finance Ministry said last week capital spending also fell 18.5 percent in the three months ended Dec. 31. While that was the 11th straight decline, it was also the smallest drop in a year.

Shipments to China rose at the fastest pace since 1985 in January, while exports to the U.S. advanced for the first time in more than two years, customs-cleared trade data showed last month. Today’s figures don’t include regional breakdowns.

Favorable Comparison

The export rebound has been driven in part by favorable year-on-year comparisons. Shipments had plunged last year in the wake of a global credit crunch caused by the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Japan posted its first current-account deficit in 13 years in January 2009 as a result.

Overseas shipments of Nissan Motor Co. cars rose 29.6 percent in January, while Mitsubishi Motor Corp. shipped more than double the amount of vehicles compared with the same month a year ago, according to the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association.

The Cabinet Office will say the economy expanded at a revised 4 percent annualized pace last quarter, according to the median estimate of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Preliminary figures showed 4.6 percent growth. The report is due on March 11 at 8:50 a.m. in Tokyo.

The current account tracks the flow of goods, services and investment income between Japan and its trading partners. It includes trade not shown in the customs-cleared balance.

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March 4, 2010

Europe’s Recovery Almost Stalls as Investment Drops

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Moon @ 4:00 pm

Europe’s recovery almost came to a halt in the fourth quarter of 2009 as companies continued to cut investment while consumers held back spending, countering a gain in exports.

Corporate investment dropped 0.8 percent from the third quarter, when it fell 0.9 percent, while household spending was flat, the European Union’s statistics office in Luxembourg said today. Exports gained 1.7 percent and imports rose 0.9 percent. Gross domestic product rose 0.1 percent from the third quarter, when it increased 0.4 percent.

European governments are struggling to contain the fallout from Greece’s budget crisis as they phase out the stimulus measures used to pull the economy out of a recession. Economic confidence in the region fell last month and unemployment held at an 11-year high in January. Still, the EU forecasts growth will accelerate in the first quarter.

“Today’s figures clearly demonstrate that the euro-region recovery is still very much made abroad and that private domestic demand has yet to recover,” said Martin Van Vliet, an economist at ING Group in Amsterdam. “We suspect that first- quarter growth might only be slightly better than the fourth quarter’s meager performance.”

The euro pared declines against the dollar after the data, trading at $1.3681 at 12:33 p.m. in London, down 0.1 percent on the day. The yield on the German 10-year benchmark bond rose 0.1 basis point to 3.14 percent.

Government Spending

From a year earlier, euro-area GDP declined a seasonally adjusted 2.1 percent in the fourth quarter, the statistics office said today, confirming an initial estimate from Feb. 12. Government spending fell 0.1 percent from the third quarter, when it increased 0.8 percent, today’s report showed.

For the full year, GDP shrank 4.1 percent, compared with an earlier estimate of 4 percent. That compares with contractions of 2.4 percent in the U.S. and 5 percent in Japan last year, the statistics office said.

The German economy, Europe’s largest, stagnated in the fourth quarter after recording 0.7 percent growth in the previous three months, while Italian GDP fell 0.2 percent. France’s economic expansion accelerated to 0.6 percent from 0.2 percent. In Greece, the economy contracted 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter.

European companies are relying on exports to bolster sales as households in the region cut back spending. Consumer and executive confidence in the outlook worsened in February after unemployment held at 9.9 percent in January, the highest since November 1998.

European Environment

Carrefour SA Chief Executive Officer Lars Olofsson said on Feb. 19 that he doesn’t “see any change in the European environment for the next six months at least” after Europe’s largest retailer reported a 70 percent drop in 2009 profit free credit score.

The European Central Bank will probably keep its benchmark interest rate at 1 percent today, according to a Bloomberg survey. The ECB, which has started to phase out some of its stimulus measures introduced to fight the recession, will release its decision at 1:45 p.m. in Frankfurt.

“The phasing out of some unconventional measures should not be misinterpreted as a desire to remove policy accommodation,” ECB council member Athanasios Orphanides said in an interview on Feb. 12. “Policy accommodation continues to be needed in light of the very subdued inflation outlook and the unevenness and weakness of the economy.”

EU Forecasts

While euro-region GDP is seen rising 0.2 percent in the current quarter from the previous three months, the economy may fail to gather strength for most of 2010, according to EU forecasts on Feb. 25. In the year, the economy will probably expand 0.7 percent after shrinking 4 percent in 2009, the EU projects.

Europe’s governments face a growing dilemma as they seek to bolster recoveries at a time when rising sovereign-debt burdens threaten to hobble economic expansion. The euro has declined 8.1 percent against the dollar over the past three months amid concern Greece’s budget crisis will spread to other countries.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou’s government yesterday approved an additional 4.8 billion euros ($6.6 billion) in deficit cuts after EU officials said the nation’s financial woes pose a threat to the entire region. The country, which has pledged to lower the budget gap beneath the EU limit of 3 percent of GDP by 2012, today started a sale of 10-year bonds amid street protests in Athens against the cuts.

‘Slow and Patchy’

“The recovery in the euro-area economy as a whole in 2010 will be slow and patchy,” said Colin Ellis, an economist at Daiwa Securities in London. “It is hard to see a strong engine of domestic growth in the euro-area economy, consistent with our view that exports may have to do the heavy lifting.”

While the euro’s slide against the dollar is boosting some raw-materials costs for companies, it’s also improving the competitiveness of European exports just as the global economy gathers strength. Europe’s service and manufacturing industries expanded for a seventh month in February.

Volkswagen AG, Europe’s largest carmaker, is facing a “strong headwind” in Europe and a “tailwind” in the U.S. and China, CEO Martin Winterkorn said on March 1. BASF SE, the world’s biggest chemical company, last month forecast higher earnings this year.

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March 2, 2010

Obama Trip May Alter U.S. Misperception of Asean, Ministers Say

Filed under: news — Tags: , , — Moon @ 6:03 am

President Barack Obama needs to grasp Southeast Asia’s economic potential and help boost U.S. investment when he travels to Indonesia three weeks from now, economic ministers from the region said.

“There’s still a lack of awareness in the U.S., a misperception that we have to address,” Indonesian Trade Minister Mari Pangestu said in an interview in Putrajaya, Malaysia, where envoys from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations met at the weekend. “We have to keep up the momentum” to expand cooperation, she said.

Asean ministers plan to travel to the U.S. in May to meet with business executives. The association plans to showcase its position as an economic hub in competing for funds with China and India, the world’s fastest-growing economies.

Obama, who became the first U.S. leader to meet with the 10-member bloc in November, is aiming to increase trade with Asia to help meet a January pledge to double exports in five years. Southeast Asia was the third-biggest market for U.S. goods in 2008 behind Canada and Mexico.

The region is rich in coal, oil and precious metals as well as containing sea lanes vital to world trade. Asean aims to form an economic community modeled on the European Union, though without a common currency, by 2015. It has already signed free- trade accords with China, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand.

Economic Recovery

“It’s important that Mr. Obama look more to the East,” Thai Deputy Commerce Minister Alongkorn Ponlaboot said in an interview. “There has been a power shift toward this region after the financial crisis, and I hope Obama will have a clear message for Asean when he visits.”

Asia’s export-dependent economies are emerging from recession as global demand increases for the region’s computer chips, cars and commodities. In January, Detroit-based General Motors Co. received local funding to open a diesel-engine plant in Thailand, and Santa Clara, California-based Intel Corp. plans to start operations of a chip assembly and testing plant in Vietnam later this year.

Asean leaders will aim to make the U.S. “understand why we have been able to succeed and why we will continue to undertake the policies that would ensure that this economic recovery is not just a coincidence,” Pangestu said. “We’ve actually moved further than you think and the opportunity is there.”

Investment Programs

Foreign direct investment from the U.S. into Asean from 2006 to 2008 amounted to $12.8 billion, or 6.9 percent of the bloc’s total, down from 17 percent from 1995 to 2001. The EU invested $42.1 billion into Asean from 2006 to 2008 while Japan put down $28.7 billion, statistics show.

Economic disparity among Asean members has hindered the region’s ability to leverage its market of 584 million people guaranteed online payday loans.

The region’s four largest economies — Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia — account for almost 80 percent of all foreign investment into Asean. The Philippines, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam are the other members of the 10-nation group.

“There is a lot of unutilized potential” for joint investments between Southeast Asian countries, Mustapa Mohamed, Malaysia’s minister of international trade and industry, said in an interview. “We are underperforming in intra-Asean trade, so that’s a priority this year.”

Trade Initiative

Southeast Asian countries are split on Obama’s top trade initiative, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, which he aims to turn into a platform for economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region. Vietnam, Singapore and Brunei will join New Zealand, Chile, Peru, Australia and the U.S. for talks on the TPP later this year.

“The success of the TPP depends very much on the attitude and the viewpoint of the U.S.,” Vu Huy Hoang, Vietnam’s minister of industry and trade, told reporters.

Malaysia and Indonesia are both reviewing the TPP and haven’t decided whether to join talks. Thailand prefers a free- trade deal between the U.S. and Asean as a bloc, Alongkorn said.

“We have noted that investments from the U.S. have dropped,” Surin Pitsuwan, Asean’s secretary-general, told reporters yesterday after the meeting, which ran from Feb. 27 until today. “There is very keen interest in strengthening cooperation, but because of the differences and diversity among us we have not yet made a definite decision whether or not this is going to be a free-trade agreement.”

China Trade

Indonesia notified its partners in Asean earlier this year that it wants to revise the group’s free-trade agreement with China, which took force on Jan. 1 and scraps tariffs on about 90 percent of goods.

Textiles, food and electronics companies have said they will suffer from the inflow of cheaper Chinese goods.

China’s trade with Asean has jumped sixfold since 2000 to $193 billion in 2008. The country’s share of Southeast Asia’s total commerce increased to 11.3 percent from 4 percent in that time, whereas the U.S. portion fell to 10.6 percent from 15 percent, Asean statistics show.

“We don’t worry so much about having to compete with the U.S. in the way some sectors worry about having to compete with China,” Indonesia’s Pangestu said. “From the Asean-U.S. perspective of increasing trade and investment, it’s more like, ‘Hey guys, the U.S. is back.’”

Source

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February 28, 2010

Marriott International opens on American Indian reservation

Filed under: management — Tags: , , — Moon @ 1:51 pm

Marriott International Inc. has signed a management contract with Salt River Devco, a development company run by the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community in Arizona, to operate a Courtyard by Marriott-branded hotel on reservation property.

It is Marriott’s first hotel on U.S. tribal land. It is located just outside of Scottsdale, Ariz.

The hotel, owned by Salt River Devco, is part of a 108-acre development it manages which currently includes six commercial buildings with plans for eight more.

“It is a great example of Marriott’s diverse ownership program, which currently has more than 500 diverse-owned hotels,” said Eric Jacobs, senior vice president of lodging development for Marriott cash advance to savings account.

The 156-room hotel is scheduled to open in 2012. Courtyard is Marriott’s (NYSE: MAR) largest brand, with 860 properties now and another 150 in development.

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February 23, 2010

Dollar turns mixed

Filed under: online — Tags: , — Moon @ 9:33 am

The dollar turned mixed Friday afternoon, with the euro recovering from steep losses, as U.S. stocks gained and traders continued to mull the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise its discount lending rate.

What prices are doing: The dollar fell 0.6% against the euro to $1.3609, after climbing to a nine-month high earlier in the day. But it gained 0.4% against the British pound at $1.5465. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar fell 0.3% to ¥91.82.

The dollar index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of major rival currencies, rose 0.2% to 80.54.

What’s moving the market: The dollar rallied throughout the morning on expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to tighten monetary policy sooner than expected.

But the euro recovered in the afternoon as traders gravitated towards higher yielding assets. Stocks ended a choppy session higher, marking the fourth straight day of gains.

Some analysts said the euro’s rebound was due to a "short squeeze," which occurs when traders rush to unwind bets that a currency will fall.

"The price action in the forex markets is clearly indicative of a short squeeze," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at trading firm GFT. "The recovery in the euro poses little threat to the dollar’s rally because fundamentally, the Eurozone is in worse shape than the U.S."

Meanwhile, investors continue to digest the Fed’s decision to increase its discount rate, which is what banks pay to borrow directly from the Fed, to 0.75% Thursday.

The increase is not expected to impact the price of consumer loans — such as mortgages and credit card rates — because the discount rate is what the Fed charges banks for emergency short-term borrowing.

The Fed left its benchmark lending rate, which has a bigger impact on the price of consumer loans, near zero. And given the sluggish labor market and tepid economic recovery, the closely watched rate will remain near its historic low for the foreseeable future.

Still, the increase in the discount rate is a small sign that the Fed thinks the market can begin to stand on its own. That confidence helped boost the dollar earlier in the day.

What analysts are saying: "Although the Fed went out of their way to say that this does not equate to a change in their monetary policy outlook, action speaks louder than words," Lien said. "Their decision to begin normalizing rates before the next central bank meeting indicates how hawkish they must be and how serious they are about tightening monetary policy."

Lien added that that the rate hike is a "game changer for the foreign exchange market" and will boost the dollar because it signals that the Fed is beginning to implement an exit strategy, which is not the case for other central banks.

Though the Fed’s action and strong U.S. economic data will continue to make the dollar a more attractive investment, Lien said the buck will also gain ground as investors focus on Europe’s debt crisis.

"At the end of the day, the U.S. dollar is still a safe haven currency, which means that as long as investors remain nervous, the dollar should hold onto its gains." 

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February 21, 2010

Taiwan Economy Probably Exited Deepest Recession, Survey Shows

Filed under: money — Tags: , , — Moon @ 3:21 pm

Taiwan’s economy probably exited the deepest recession on record last quarter as the global recovery spurred demand for the island’s semiconductors and mobile phones, according to a survey of economists.

Gross domestic product increased 7.1 percent in the three months through December from a year earlier, the median of the Bloomberg News survey’s nine estimates shows, after contracting for the previous five quarters. The report will be released on Feb. 22 at 1:30 p.m. in Taipei.

The emergence of the world economy from the worst slump since World War II spurred businesses in Taiwan, where exports equal half of GDP, to boost production and hire more workers. President Ma Ying-jeou is negotiating a trade accord with China that would cut import duties on Taiwanese goods in the world’s fastest growing major economy and help cement the recovery.

“Taiwan is ‘out of the woods’ for as long as the global economy is — and is particularly benefitting from a surge in growth in China,” said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist in Hong Kong at SJS Markets Ltd. “Since inflation in bound to return, we expect the central bank to begin raising rates in April, with 50 points of tightening likely in 2010.”

Taiwan’s exports to China, its biggest trading partner and No. 1 overseas investment destination, soared 187.8 percent in January from a year earlier, after a 96.7 percent gain in December. Shipments to the U.S., the second largest export market, rose 13.7 percent after increasing 4 percent in December.

Surging Profits

Stronger demand for electronics helped Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and United Microelectronics Corp., the world’s largest makers of custom chips, post fourth-quarter profits that beat analysts’ estimates and boost capital spending this year.

The economy is emerging from the worst recession since records began in the 1950s. Central Bank Governor Perng Fai-nan kept interest rates unchanged at a record-low 1.25 percent on Dec. 24, after slashing them by 2.375 percentage points from September 2008 to February 2009 to revive the economy.

The unemployment rate fell for a third month in December after reaching a record 6.09 percent in September. Taiwan Semiconductor, the island’s biggest company by market value, said it plans record spending this year and will add more than 3,000 engineers.

“Local exporters have been reporting good sales figures in the fourth quarter because of rising demand from overseas,” said Lee Ming-han, an economist at Sinopac Bank in Taipei. “Domestic consumption also improved on a falling jobless rate and gains in the stock markets.”

China Accord

President Ma’s administration has been pushing for the trade agreement with China to prevent Taiwan from being “marginalized” after a Chinese accord with the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations took effect this year.

China and Hong Kong combined is Taiwan’s largest overseas market, accounting for 40 percent of the island’s $203.7 billion of exports last year. Overseas shipments of flat screens, computer chips and other electronics goods made up about 28 percent of the total. Asean, which represents a quarter of the world’s population, accounts for 15 percent of Taiwan’s exports.

The government estimates the so-called Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement with China would increase GDP by 1.65 to 1.72 percentage points annually, spurring exports and creating more than 260,000 jobs. Exports would rise as much as 5 percent a year and imports by 7 percent, it says.

Opposition Rally

The opposition is against signing the accord and is calling for a public referendum. The Democratic Progressive Party on Dec. 20 rallied 100,000 people into the streets of Taichung city to protest Ma’s China policies, on concern that they will erode the island’s sovereignty.

China and Taiwan have been ruled separately since Nationalist troops fled to the island after losing a civil war to Mao Zedong’s Communist forces in 1949. China has threatened to invade Taiwan if it declares formal independence, and in 2006 carried out a weeklong series of missile tests near the island.

The risks to Taiwan “are centered around the global outlook, which is strong only in the short term,” Kowalczyk of SJS said. “By late 2010 and early 2011 we see a double dip in G-3 economies, which will trigger a slowdown. This is bound to hit Taiwanese exports and reduce its growth rate in 2011.”

Taiwan’s currency climbed 0.3 percent to close at NT$32.1 against the U.S. dollar on Feb. 12, the last trading before the Lunar New Year holiday, according to Taipei Forex Inc. The benchmark Taiex index gained 1.1 percent, after surging 78 percent last year, the best performance since 1993. Taiwan’s financial markets will resume trading on Feb. 22.

Export Growth

Taiwan is aiming for 22 percent growth in exports in 10 markets this year, including China, India, Japan, Russia and Brazil, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said last month. The island’s statistics bureau forecast in November that exports would increase 15.4 percent this year.

Nanya Technology Corp. last month reported NT$211 million ($6.6 million) profit in the fourth quarter, after posting losses in the previous 10 quarters, as demand for computers rebounded and prices of semiconductors rose. Smaller rival Powerchip said Jan. 20 that its fourth quarter profit exceeded NT$1.6 billion.

Taiwan Semiconductor, the island’s biggest company by market value, plans record spending of $4.8 billion on equipment and factories this year after reporting fourth-quarter profit more than doubled to NT$32.7 billion.

Prime View International Co., the screen supplier to Sony Corp.’s Reader and Amazon.com’s Kindle e-book readers, plans to triple its capacity in the U.S. and China this year on rising orders, Chairman Scott Liu said in an interview last month.

Source

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February 17, 2010

U.K. Jobless Rate Would Be Almost Double in Euro, CEBR Says

Filed under: finance — Tags: , , — Moon @ 6:48 am

The U.K.’s unemployment rate would be almost double and its recession would have been deeper if Britain had joined the euro, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research.

Gross domestic product would have contracted 7 percent last year and unemployment would currently be 15 percent if the nation had signed up to the single currency, CEBR’s Chief Executive Officer Douglas McWilliams said today in an e-mailed statement. The economy shrank 4.8 percent last year.

At 7.8 percent, the U.K. jobless rate is below that of the U.S. and the average of the euro region, which are both at 10 percent. Prime Minister Gordon Brown decided to keep Britain out of the European single currency when he was finance minister in 2003 after an assessment of the potential benefits of joining. Many euro members have struggled, McWilliams said personal business card.

“Most European economies have found keeping up with a German-inspired exchange rate a problem,” he said. “For those European countries that have a propensity to borrow, a single interest rate, kept low by frugal Germany, was a step too far and they over borrowed. Ireland and Spain are the most spectacular examples, but Portugal and Greece also had interest rates that were far too low for their economic circumstances.”

If the U.K. had joined the euro in 1998, economic growth would have been “slightly higher” and inflation would have been faster by about 0.6 percent through 2006, McWilliams said.

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February 15, 2010

Fed Seeks Help From Money Funds to Drain $1 Trillion

Filed under: finance — Tags: , , — Moon @ 1:03 am

The Federal Reserve is in talks with money-market mutual funds on agreements to help drain as much as $1 trillion from the financial system as policy makers prepare for the first interest-rate increase since June 2006, according to a person familiar with the discussions.

The central bank is looking to the money-market mutual fund industry which manages $3.2 trillion in assets because the 18 so-called primary dealers that trade directly with the Fed have a capacity limited to about $100 billion, estimates Joseph Abate, a money-market strategist at Barclays Capital in New York.

Money-market funds may welcome the opportunity to trade with the Fed after the financial crisis reduced the supply of safe assets in which they can invest. In one example of demand for such assets, auctions on four-week Treasury bills have attracted an average of $5.47 in bids for every dollar sold this year, compared with an average of $3.77 last year, according to Bloomberg data. Yields on the four-week bill were quoted at four basis points at 3:47 p.m. in New York trading from 18 basis points a year ago.

“There are lots of great credit stories, but the option of going with the Fed and the government — it takes away part of the risk,” said Deborah Cunningham, a chief investment officer at Federated Investors Inc. in Pittsburgh, which manages $318 billion in money-market investments. Conversations with the Fed “seem pretty positive,” she said, adding that the Fed and the industry should be in a position to conduct operations before the end of the year.

Fannie, Freddie

Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday charted ways the Fed might withdraw record monetary stimulus pumped into the economy to fight the recession. Among the central bank’s tools are reverse repurchase agreements, in which the Fed sells securities with the intention of repurchasing them at a later date.

The Fed is also considering reverse repurchase agreements with mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, said the person familiar with the discussions. Freddie Mac spokeswoman Sharon McHale declined to comment. Fannie Mae spokesman Brian Faith also declined to comment.

“To further increase its capacity to drain reserves through reverse repos,” Bernanke said, the Fed is “in the process of expanding the set of counterparties with which it can transact” beyond primary dealers of government securities.

The primary dealers, which are required to bid at auctions of Treasury notes and trade directly with the New York Fed’s markets desk, include BNP Paribas Securities Corp., Banc of America Securities LLC and Goldman Sachs & Co.

‘Extended Period’

Bernanke repeated yesterday that while interest rates are likely to stay low for an “extended period,” the Fed in “due course” will need to “begin to tighten monetary conditions to prevent the development of inflationary pressures paydayloan.”

The central bank has created more than $1 trillion in excess reserves in the banking system through its purchases of $300 billion of Treasury debt and $1.25 trillion of mortgage- backed securities. To put upward pressure on the federal funds rate, the Fed may need to drain as much as $800 billion, Abate estimates.

One potential tightening tool is the interest rate on reserves that commercial banks keep on deposit at the Fed. By raising that rate, the central bank “will be able to put significant upward pressure on all short-term interest rates,” Bernanke said.

The Fed can also use reverse repos to shrink the quantity of reserves, which in turn gives it “tighter control over short-term interest rates,” he said.

Risk for Fed

Fed officials face the risk that when they start to tighten policy by raising the rate they pay banks on reserves, other market rates may not follow. That would keep monetary conditions too loose in an expansion.

“They still seem nervous that they might not be able to control short rates, and if they can’t control short rates, how do they tighten?” said Mark Spindel, chief investment officer at Potomac River Capital LLC, which manages $200 million in Washington.

The Fed has sought to keep the benchmark rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008. The federal funds rate is now 0.13 percent, even though banks can earn 0.25 percent by keeping their money on deposit at the Fed.

One reason for the discrepancy is that Fannie and Freddie have become “significant sellers” of funds in the overnight market and aren’t eligible to place cash on deposit at the Fed, according to a December research paper by the New York Fed.

Some hurdles remain in the Fed’s efforts to secure bigger repo capacity. Fed officials and mutual-fund industry representatives are working on a structure that would allow funds to invest in relatively liquid assets that can be sold in seven days, while allowing the central bank to avoid having to renew billions of dollars in transactions each week.

“There needs to be liquidity,” said Cunningham of Federated. “A reverse repo contract is not considered to be liquid in the context of anything beyond seven days.”

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February 11, 2010

Chicago company to acquire All-Pak

Filed under: news — Tags: , — Moon @ 4:15 am

Chicago-based Berlin Packaging said Monday it will acquire All-Pak Inc., a packaging supplier based in Bridgeville, near Pittsburgh.

Berlin Packaging describes itself as a "full-service supplier of plastic, glass and metal containers and closures." All-Pak evolved from the former Cunningham Glass Co., which has been in the Pittsburgh area for some 50 years.

Terms of the deal were not disclosed Monday, and it was not clear whether any Pittsburgh-area layoffs would result from the acquisition.

According to a news release, the combined company, which will be headquartered in Chicago, will have annual revenue approaching $500 million. All-Pak will maintain a "significant operational presence at all of its geographical locations," according to the release.

The acquisition is expected to close by the end of February, according to the release.

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February 7, 2010

Trichet Struggles to Convince Investors of Euro-Area Solidity

Filed under: online — Tags: , , — Moon @ 7:24 am

European Central Bank President Jean- Claude Trichet is struggling to convince investors that the euro region shouldn’t be punished for Greece’s budget problems.

As the Greek government tries to control its record deficit and the country’s bonds slide, Trichet yesterday said the economy of the 16-nation euro area is solid and its budget shortfall will probably be smaller than those of the U.S. and Japan this year. The euro nevertheless fell more than half a cent against the dollar and Spanish and Portuguese stocks dropped on concern they are in a similar predicament to Greece.

Trichet “did not convince me,” said Stuart Thomson, who helps manage $100 billion at Ignis Asset Management in Glasgow, Scotland. “Where does he think the Greek, Spanish and Portuguese economies will be three years from now? Their austerity measures will weigh on the euro area as a whole.”

Trichet has been forced to fend off questions about the survival of the euro as investors doubt Greece’s ability to cut its deficit from 12.7 percent of gross domestic product to below the European Union’s 3 percent limit. As concern spreads to Spain and Portugal’s rising debt burdens, Trichet will try to stress the need for fiscal prudence without inflaming skepticism that it can be achieved.

“Something has to happen to turn credibility around,” said Paul Mortimer-Lee, head of Market Economics at BNP Paribas in London. “The market’s just saying it’s not believable. It might have to get worse before it gets better.”

Markets Shudder

Spanish stocks dropped the most in 15 months yesterday and Portugal led declines in government bonds. The euro fell to $1.3728, its lowest level against the dollar since last May. It has dropped more than 9 percent since Nov. 25.

Greek bonds have tumbled in the past two months, pushing the yield on the country’s 10-year debt above 7 percent, the highest since 1999, the year the euro was introduced. The premium investors charge to hold Greek 10-year bonds over the benchmark German bund has widened to 356 basis points, about 10 times what it was two years ago.

The ECB yesterday left its benchmark rate at a record low of 1 percent and Trichet signaled the bank is in no rush to raise borrowing costs as the economy recovers gradually from its worst recession since World War II.

Still, Trichet said the “solidity” of the euro area “is not necessarily very well known” and its situation compares “very flatteringly with a number of other industrialized countries.”

Gradual Recovery

The euro-area economy will grow 0.8 percent this year and 1.2 percent in 2011, according to the ECB’s December forecasts. It contracted 4 percent last year, the European Commission estimates.

“Trichet is still trying to persuade markets that they should be looking at the euro area as a whole, which does not look that bad, rather than at individual countries, some of which look extremely fragile,” said Marco Annunziata, chief economist at UniCredit SpA in London.

Spain’s public debt will rise to 74 percent of GDP by 2011 from 54 percent last year, according to European Commission forecasts. Greece’s debt will increase to 135 percent of GDP from 113 percent, and Portugal’s will increase to 91 percent from 77 percent, the EU estimates.

Greece’s consolidation plans, which call for about 10 billion euros ($13.7 billion) of spending cuts and revenue increases this year, are more ambitious than any budget reduction achieved by euro-region countries since the 1970s, according to ING Group.

Greece’s biggest union yesterday approved a second mass strike this month to protest the spending cuts and tax collectors began a 48-hour walkout, illustrating the difficulty Prime Minister George Papandreou faces in implementing his plan.

“We expect and we are confident that the Greek government will take all the decisions that will permit them to reach that goal,” Trichet said. Additional proposals announced by Greece this week to freeze public-sector wages and revamp the pension system “are steps in the right direction,” he said.

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