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January 25, 2012

Davos elite: Capitalism has widened income gap

Filed under: USA, loans — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 3:20 pm

A four-year economic crisis has left societies battered and widened the gap between the haves and have-nots, financial leaders conceded Wednesday _ with one suggesting that Western capitalism itself may be endangered.

With the global economic outlook gloomy at best as Europe struggles with its debt crisis, there’s a sense at the heavily guarded World Economic Forum in the Swiss Alps that free markets are on trial.

There’s a widespread acceptance that more must be done to convince critics that Western capitalism has a future and that it can learn the lessons of its massive failures.

For David Rubenstein, the co-founder and managing director of asset management firm Carlyle Group, leaders must work fast to overcome the current crisis or else different models of capitalism, such as the form practiced in China, may win the day.

“As a result of this recession, that’s lasted longer than anyone predicted and will probably go on for a number more years … we’re gonna have a lot of economic disparities,” said Rubenstein.

“We’ve got to work through these problems, if we don’t do in 3 or 4 years … the game will be over for the type of capitalism that many of us have lived through and thought was the best type,” he added.

His stark appraisal may have been an outlier, but there was a clear defensive posture among many participants on this opening day of the World Economic Forum in Davos.

There were numerous references to the need to innovate, the need to consult with employees and the realization that power in the world is shifting from the west to the east. While the traditional industrial economies of the United States and Europe have limped through the last few years, often from one crisis to another, many economies in Asia and Latin America have been booming.

As Ben Verwaayen, the chief executive of Alcatel-Lucent, said, there’s a “very different view” of capitalism in Brazil.

“This is a very different discussion depending where you are,” Verwaayen said.

Many rejected the suggestion from Sharan Burrow, the general secretary of the International Trade Union Confederation, that capitalism has lost its “moral compass” and needed to be “reset.” Still, representatives of the business community insisted they were learning from the mistakes that dragged the world into its deepest economic recession since the World War II.

Bank of America’s CEO Brian Moynihan said the excesses of banks in the run-up to the banking crisis of 2008 reflected the economies they were operating in, so it was important that policymakers don’t overreact.

Moynihan, whose bank was forced to back down on plans to start charging a $5 debit card fee after protests by the Occupy movement and others, said banks have “done a lot” to reduce excesses. He also noted that boom and bust cycles are a part of the Western capitalist structure.

Many outside the confines of the Davos conference center disagree, after years of crisis in which hundreds of millions of people have lost their jobs even as top executives have continued to reap huge pay packets.

Davos activists on Wednesday sent aloft big red weather balloons carrying a huge protest banner reading “Hey WEF, Where are the other 6.9999 billion leaders?”

The activists were from the Occupy WEF movement, a small group camping out in igloos here and following in the footsteps of the Occupy Wall Street movement that spread to cities around the world.

Davos is a hard-to-reach place to protest, tucked in the Swiss Alps. Some 2,600 of the world’s most influential people are gathered for the forum this week, amid increasing worries about the global economy and social unrest due to rising income inequalities.

The CEO of accounting giant Deloitte, Joe Echevarria, talked about developing “compassionate capitalism.”

“You’re going to have to deal with regulation _ balancing the need to protect society along with stifling growth,” he told The Associated Press in an interview. “I think that has to manifest itself through the choices that governments and businesses make.”

While the bigwigs debated at Davos, key Greek bondholders were holding closed-door meetings in Paris to discuss how _ and whether _ to continue talks central to resolving Europe’s debt crisis that would forgive 50 percent of Greece’s enormous debt.

Mark Penn, global CEO of the public relations firm Burson-Marsteller, told AP “the whole crisis has raised larger questions about how is capitalism working, how do you redefine fairness in the 21st century?”

Later Wednesday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel may chart her course for Europe’s crisis in her keynote speech at the Davos forum.

In an interview with six European newspapers published Wednesday, Merkel drove home the need for reform in debt-troubled eurozone nations instead of spending more to beef up the region’s bailout fund.

Surveys ahead of the meeting showed pessimism among world CEOs and plunging levels of public trust in business and government leaders and concerns that fragility in the U.S. and European economies will bring the whole world’s economy down.

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January 20, 2012

Home sales at 11-month high

Filed under: economics, loans — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 4:44 pm

Sales of previously owned homes rose to an 11-month high in December and the supply of properties on the market tumbled to a near 7-year low, pointing to a nascent recovery in the housing market.

The National Association of Realtors said on Friday existing home sales increased 5 percent month over month to an annual rate of 4.61 million units.

November’s sales pace was revised down to a 4.39 million-unit pace, previously reported as a 4.42 million-unit rate.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected sales to rise to a 4.65 million-unit sales pace. Sales in December were up 3.6 percent from a year ago. A total of 4.26 million homes were sold in 2011, up 1.7 percent from the prior year.

“A sector of the economy that has been a large weight on growth has started to stabilize over the last few months and we will continue to look for momentum in 2012,” said John Doyle, currency strategist at Tempus Consulting in Washington.

The third straight month of gains in sales added to hopes that a tentative recovery in the housing market was starting to take shape, but progress will be painfully slow given a glut of unsold properties that is weighing down on prices.

Data this week showed single-family home starts rose for a third straight month in December and optimism among builders this month was the highest in four-and-a-half years.

But the sector, responsible for the 2007-09 recession, remains challenged by an oversupply of homes amid an 8.5 percent unemployment rate. In addition, declining prices have left many Americans with homes that are worth less than their mortgages.

But there are tentative signs of improvement. There were 2.38 million unsold homes on the market last month, the fewest since March 2005. That represented a 6.2 months’ supply at December’s sales pace, the lowest since April 2006, and compared to 7.2 months’ supply in November.

However, the inventory of unsold homes tends to decline in winter. A supply of 6 months is generally considered as ideal and anything above indicates further declines in house prices. The median sales price fell 2.5 percent to $164,500 from a year ago.

Sales last month rose across all four regions, with gains in both the multifamily home and single-family home segments.

Single family home sales rose 4.6 percent, while multi-family dwellings advanced 8.7 percent.

But the road to recovery will be bumpy. Distressed properties, foreclosures and short sales which typically occur at deep discounts, accounted for 32 percent of overall sales last month, little changed from November.

A third of pending existing home sales contracts were canceled, the NAR said.

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December 30, 2011

Australia Home Prices Drop 3.7% on Concern Europe Crisis May Damp Growth - Bloomberg

Filed under: loans, marketing — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 1:16 pm

Home prices in Australia

December 29, 2011

Putin

Filed under: economics, loans — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 12:32 pm

Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has been calling for Russia, the world

December 11, 2011

After Euro deal, investors brace for big moves

Filed under: business, loans — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 11:16 pm

Europe’s fiscal pact may save the euro from collapse and stave off worldwide financial panic. But the concerns of many investors are more personal: Will it lift my flagging 401(k)?

The answer from the stock market on Friday was hopeful. As a summit of European leaders concluded with an agreement to deal with their debt crisis, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 1.7 percent, capping a second straight week of gains.

Then again, stocks have rallied after other summits _ more than a dozen in two years _ only to fall again. And the reaction to the deal from even the optimists isn’t particularly reassuring.

Hank Smith, chief investment officer of Haverford Investments, says stocks could rise “sharply and quickly” _ but only if there’s more “good news” from Europe. And that assumes you agree that Friday’s deal was good at all.

In that deal, all 17 countries that use the euro agreed to allow a central European authority to oversee their future budgets. They also agreed to automatic penalties if they spend too much.

But the deal won’t help cut debt today, which in Italy, Greece and Spain has driven government borrowing costs close to levels considered unsustainable. All eyes are now on the European Central Bank, and whether it’s willing to buy enough national bonds from those countries to keep interest rates down.

The frustration for investors is that Europe has drowned out a string of good news in the U.S. that should have moved stock prices higher. U.S. companies are making more money than ever, signs are growing the economy is recovering and stocks are cheap compared with earnings.

So far this year, investors have endured stomach-churning moves up and down in stocks. But in the end, not much has changed.

The S&P 500 has barely budged in the past 12 months. The Dow Jones industrial average, which includes some deeply troubled financial stocks not in the S&P, has performed better _ up 5 percent.

Jim Russell, equity strategist at US Bank Wealth Management, is befuddled.

“Stocks are bad _ sell them,” he says, mocking the prevailing attitude in the markets. “It doesn’t matter if you blow out earnings.”

Russell is hoping that Europe’s latest deal means U.S. investors will forget about the region for a while, focus on the fact that big U.S. companies have increased profits by double-digit percentages for 10 consecutive quarters _ and maybe even start buying again.

But the only thing he’s convinced is sure to come is more wild stock moves.

Since August, S&P 500 stocks have gyrated by 1.7 percent a day, more than twice its average over two decades. The Dow index of blue chips stocks has seen similar volatility.

The culprit: Europe.

Early last month, the Dow plunged by 389 points on news that squabbling Greek politicians might not be able to push through needed reforms. A few days later, the Italian Senate passed a new austerity budget and the Dow rose 260 points. Then it dropped 326 points over two days on fears that U.S. banks had bet too heavily on Europe continuing to pay its bills and on news of a sudden spike in Italian borrowing costs. Then, another reversal. Several central banks announced they would make it easier for European lenders to borrow themselves, and the Dow jumped 490 points fast cash advance.

In addition to tighter controls on spending, Europe’s new “fiscal compact” calls for the launch of a permanent eurozone bailout fund in 2012, a year ahead of schedule. The deal also will send 200 billion euros ($267.41 billion) to the International Monetary Fund, which controls another emergency fund for countries in crisis.

Jeffrey Sica of Sica Wealth Management thinks the pact is inadequate, and stocks could fall 15 percent once investors wake up to that fact. He doesn’t think the European Central Bank will buy enough bonds to keep borrowing costs down. And that means banks in the region holding government debt will suffer big losses, with some collapsing. U.S. banks will also get hit with losses, and the economy will struggle for years.

“We had all this anticipation leading up to the meeting,” he says. “But nothing much happened.”

Sica, who manages $1 billion for clients, sold all of his stocks in August, and put proceeds in U.S. Treasury bills and into so-called “short” bets that stocks will fall.

His view is a nightmare, but even if you don’t buy it, there is plenty to worry about.

U.S. companies have generated record profits in part by cutting costs. But there’s a limit to how much they can squeeze suppliers and pile work on remaining workers. The other path to riches has been to sell more abroad, but there are signs that may prove difficult soon, too.

This past week, Europe’s biggest economy, Germany, reported its exports plunged in October. That followed bad news from a widely-followed survey suggesting that eurozone economy had likely contracted last month, which would make it the third monthly drop in a row. Many experts now think Europe is already in recession or will soon enter one.

This matters because S&P 500 companies get 14 percent of their revenue from Europe. Not surprisingly, some CEOs have been sounding more dour lately.

Many have slashed their guidance on earnings for next year. On Friday, chemical giant DuPont and semiconductor maker Lattice Semiconductor Corp. cut their financial outlooks for the current quarter. That followed a warning from Texas Instruments Inc. a day earlier that its revenue might fall short of expectations.

“We’ve seen the market highs for the year,” says Peter Boockvar, equity strategist Miller Tabak & Co. “Europe will be in recession and corporate earnings here could be challenging.”

Russell, the US Bank strategist, agrees that Europe is in trouble but he’s still cheery about U.S. stocks. He thinks earnings at S&P companies might grow only 7 percent in 2012, half the rate this year. But he’s still urging investors to buy.

Even at that lower rate, stocks are trading at roughly 12 times their projected earnings versus a long-term average of nearly 17 times, he says.

Translation: They’re cheap.

“We think investors will like what they see,” says Russell, assuming they “refocus on fundamentals.”

Given Europe’s troubles, it’s a big assumption.

Source

November 27, 2011

IRS under pressure to police refundable tax credits

Filed under: business, loans — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 8:40 am

The Internal Revenue Service is under pressure to better police more than $100 billion of refundable tax credits it issues annually after a government watchdog questioned billions of dollars in payments.

Congress passed in October legislation authorizing a five-fold increase, to $500, in the penalty for paid tax preparers who don’t verify the eligibility of applicants for the earned income credit, by far the largest refundable tax credit.

Tax filers collected refunds of at least $55.1 billion in 2009 from the earned income tax credit, and the IRS estimated that more than $11 billion of that total was issued improperly, sometimes by mistake and sometimes as a result of fraud.

“The IRS is really stepping up enforcement,” Cindy Hockenberry, research supervisor for the National Association of Tax Professionals, said. The initial focus has been on the earned-income credit, but “they’re going to be branching out into other areas,” she said.

The association, based in Appleton, Wis., represents more than 21,000 tax preparers, accountants, attorneys and enrolled agents who work independently or for companies such as H & R Block Inc.

The IRS plans to give earned-income tax credit claims extra scrutiny during the 2012 tax filing season.

Oversight of refundable credits has become a political issue, with Republicans in particular demanding that the IRS do more to weed out ineligible recipients.

“We must balance the mandate to get refunds to those eligible as quickly as possible with ensuring that the money goes only to individuals who are eligible to receive it,” IRS deputy commissioner for services and enforcement, Steve Miller, told a House Ways and Means subcommittee hearing in May.

The earned income tax credit, passed by Congress in 1975 to offset the burden of Social Security taxes for the poor, has been expanded several times with bipartisan support, as an incentive to work.

However, Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration J. Russell George criticized the IRS’s administration of the EITC and faulted the agency for potential improper payments involving two other refundable credit programs, one for higher education and the other for families with children payday loans.

George’s reports indicate that more than $18 billion of $101 billion for the three programs may have been improperly awarded.

Unlike a regular tax credit that offsets some or all of a tax liability, a refundable credit can include a cash payment in excess of the tax owed. As a result, refundable credits offer an incentive to defraud the government, George told the House Ways and Means subcommittee in May.

Legislation is pending to narrow eligibility for a refundable child tax credit. In a report in September, George’s investigators found that in 2009 about $4.2 billion, or 15 percent of $28.3 billion in additional child tax credits, had gone to people not authorized to work in the U.S.

The IRS declined George’s recommendation to seek more documentation of eligibility. In a statement at the time, the IRS said that the law authorizing the tax credit didn’t explicitly limit recipients to holders of a specific type of identification such as a Social Security number.

The IRS also took issue with George’s findings on the American Opportunity education tax credit, which helps low- and middle-income people pay for college. The credit, part of the 2009 stimulus law, was extended through December 2012 by legislation that also extended the tax cuts enacted under President George W. Bush.

In a report last month, George said 2.1 million taxpayers in 2009 received $3.2 billion in American Opportunity and other education credits that may have been wrongly awarded. That’s about 17 percent of the $18.7 billion of such credits distributed by the IRS.

The IRS disputed the findings, with spokesman Terry Lemons saying they were based on “a flawed and superficial analysis.”

Source

November 11, 2011

E-Trade ends review with no plans for sale

Filed under: loans, money — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 2:44 am

Online broker E-Trade Financial Corp. shares plunged nearly 5 percent in after-market trading following its announcement that it had concluded a strategic review and has no plans for a sale.

Shares fell 34 cents to close at $9.48. After it made the announcement, shares fell 46 cents, or 4.9 percent.

The company said it has concluded the review begun in August that was designed to consider all alternatives including a possible sale. The board unanimously determined that the continued execution of the company’s business plan is currently the best alternative, it said.

That also was the recommendation of Goldman Sachs & Co., hired as an adviser for the review.

E-Trade’s largest shareholder and bondholder, Citadel Advisors LLC, pushed the company earlier this year to seek a buyer.

Source

November 4, 2011

China will phase out energy-draining light bulbs

Filed under: loans, technology — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 3:00 pm

China will phase out power-draining light bulbs in an efficiency move certain to impact the global market.

The world’s biggest polluter will ban imports and sales of 100-watt-and-higher incandescent bulbs from Oct. 1, 2012. Lower-watt bulbs will be banned in phases until 2016.

China’s main planning agency says 3.85 billion incandescent light bulbs were produced here last year and 1 billion were sold domestically bad credit pay day loans.

The agency’s statement Friday said 12 percent of China’s total electricity use is for lighting. The move is meant to save energy and curb climate change.

The United States and the 27-nation European Union are phasing out the bulbs beginning next year as well.

October 24, 2011

Tropical Storm Rina forms off Honduras coast

Filed under: loans, technology — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 6:28 am

Forecasters say Tropical Storm Rina has formed in the Caribbean Sea off the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua and it could become a hurricane by the end of the week.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said Sunday night that the storm’s center was located about 115 miles (185 kilometers) northeast of Cabo Gracias on the border of Honduras and Nicaragua.

It had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour (64 kph) and was moving north-northwest at 8 mph (13 kph) quick payday loans.

A tropical storm watch was in effect on the coast of Honduras from Punta Castilla eastward to the Nicaraguan border.

Forecasters expect Rina to gain strength in the next 48 hours and said it could become a hurricane by the end of the week.

Source

October 22, 2011

NATO: It didn’t know Gadhafi was in bombed convoy

Filed under: loans, marketing — Tags: , , , — Moon @ 2:52 pm

NATO said its commanders were not aware that Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi was in a convoy that NATO bombed as it fled Sirte, as NATO’s governing body gathered Friday to decide how to end its bombing campaign in Libya.

The success of NATO’s seven-month military operation in Libya has helped reinvigorate the Cold War alliance and polished the reputation of France and Britain, the two countries that drove it forward. Analysts attributed its success to the fact that NATO remained steadfast over the summer during a long and grinding stalemate against Gadhafi loyalists and avoided the temptation to send ground troops into Libya.

In a statement Friday, the alliance said an initial Thursday morning strike was aimed at a convoy of approximately 75 armed vehicles leaving Sirte, the Libyan city defended by Gadhafi loyalists. One vehicle was destroyed, which resulted in the convoy’s dispersal.

Another jet then engaged approximately 20 vehicles that were driving at great speed toward the south, destroying or damaging about 10 of them.

“We later learned from open sources and allied intelligence that Gadhafi was in the convoy and that the strike likely contributed to his capture,” the statement said.

After Libya’s former rebels killed Gadhafi on Thursday, officials said they expected the aerial operation to end very soon. But the North Atlantic Council may also decide to keep air patrols flying for several more days until the security situation on the ground stabilizes.

The final decision will depend on the recommendation of Adm. Jim Stavridis, the supreme allied commander, and the Military Committee, the highest military organ.

NATO’s Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen says the end of the campaign “has now moved much closer.” He has also hailed the success of the mission, saying that it demonstrated that the alliance continues to play an “indispensable” role in confronting current and future security challenges business card.

NATO warplanes have flown about 26,000 sorties, including over 9,600 strike missions. They destroyed Libya’s air defenses and over 1,000 tanks, vehicles and guns, as well as Gadhafi’s command and control networks.

The daily airstrikes finally broke the stalemate that developed after Gadhafi’s initial attempts failed to crush the rebellion that broke out in February. In August, the rebels began advancing on Tripoli, with the NATO warplanes providing close air support and destroying any attempts by the defenders to block them.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy said Friday that “the operation has reached its end.” But how to draw down the campaign will be decided “with our allies and also with input from the (interim government).”

But in London, Britain suggested that NATO may not immediately complete its mission in Libya, wary over the potential reprisal attacks by remaining Gadhafi loyalists.

“NATO will now meet to decide when the mission is complete, and once we are satisfied that there is no further threat to the Libyan civilians and the Libyans are content, NATO will then arrange to wind up the operation,” British Defense Secretary Philip Hammond told BBC radio.

Sarkozy, British Prime Minister David Cameron and President Barack Obama discussed the NATO campaign in a video conference late Thursday.

“They discussed the need to maintain the NATO-led operation while a threat remained to civilian life,” a spokeswoman for Cameron’s office said, on customary condition of anonymity.

___

Associated Press writers Elaine Ganley in Paris and David Stringer in London contributed to this report.

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