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Marriott International Inc. has signed a management contract with Salt River Devco, a development company run by the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community in Arizona, to operate a Courtyard by Marriott-branded hotel on reservation property.

It is Marriott’s first hotel on U.S. tribal land. It is located just outside of Scottsdale, Ariz.

The hotel, owned by Salt River Devco, is part of a 108-acre development it manages which currently includes six commercial buildings with plans for eight more.

“It is a great example of Marriott’s diverse ownership program, which currently has more than 500 diverse-owned hotels,” said Eric Jacobs, senior vice president of lodging development for Marriott cash advance to savings account.

The 156-room hotel is scheduled to open in 2012. Courtyard is Marriott’s (NYSE: MAR) largest brand, with 860 properties now and another 150 in development.

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Taiwan’s economy probably exited the deepest recession on record last quarter as the global recovery spurred demand for the island’s semiconductors and mobile phones, according to a survey of economists.

Gross domestic product increased 7.1 percent in the three months through December from a year earlier, the median of the Bloomberg News survey’s nine estimates shows, after contracting for the previous five quarters. The report will be released on Feb. 22 at 1:30 p.m. in Taipei.

The emergence of the world economy from the worst slump since World War II spurred businesses in Taiwan, where exports equal half of GDP, to boost production and hire more workers. President Ma Ying-jeou is negotiating a trade accord with China that would cut import duties on Taiwanese goods in the world’s fastest growing major economy and help cement the recovery.

“Taiwan is ‘out of the woods’ for as long as the global economy is — and is particularly benefitting from a surge in growth in China,” said Dariusz Kowalczyk, chief investment strategist in Hong Kong at SJS Markets Ltd. “Since inflation in bound to return, we expect the central bank to begin raising rates in April, with 50 points of tightening likely in 2010.”

Taiwan’s exports to China, its biggest trading partner and No. 1 overseas investment destination, soared 187.8 percent in January from a year earlier, after a 96.7 percent gain in December. Shipments to the U.S., the second largest export market, rose 13.7 percent after increasing 4 percent in December.

Surging Profits

Stronger demand for electronics helped Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and United Microelectronics Corp., the world’s largest makers of custom chips, post fourth-quarter profits that beat analysts’ estimates and boost capital spending this year.

The economy is emerging from the worst recession since records began in the 1950s. Central Bank Governor Perng Fai-nan kept interest rates unchanged at a record-low 1.25 percent on Dec. 24, after slashing them by 2.375 percentage points from September 2008 to February 2009 to revive the economy.

The unemployment rate fell for a third month in December after reaching a record 6.09 percent in September. Taiwan Semiconductor, the island’s biggest company by market value, said it plans record spending this year and will add more than 3,000 engineers.

“Local exporters have been reporting good sales figures in the fourth quarter because of rising demand from overseas,” said Lee Ming-han, an economist at Sinopac Bank in Taipei. “Domestic consumption also improved on a falling jobless rate and gains in the stock markets.”

China Accord

President Ma’s administration has been pushing for the trade agreement with China to prevent Taiwan from being “marginalized” after a Chinese accord with the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations took effect this year.

China and Hong Kong combined is Taiwan’s largest overseas market, accounting for 40 percent of the island’s $203.7 billion of exports last year. Overseas shipments of flat screens, computer chips and other electronics goods made up about 28 percent of the total. Asean, which represents a quarter of the world’s population, accounts for 15 percent of Taiwan’s exports.

The government estimates the so-called Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement with China would increase GDP by 1.65 to 1.72 percentage points annually, spurring exports and creating more than 260,000 jobs. Exports would rise as much as 5 percent a year and imports by 7 percent, it says.

Opposition Rally

The opposition is against signing the accord and is calling for a public referendum. The Democratic Progressive Party on Dec. 20 rallied 100,000 people into the streets of Taichung city to protest Ma’s China policies, on concern that they will erode the island’s sovereignty.

China and Taiwan have been ruled separately since Nationalist troops fled to the island after losing a civil war to Mao Zedong’s Communist forces in 1949. China has threatened to invade Taiwan if it declares formal independence, and in 2006 carried out a weeklong series of missile tests near the island.

The risks to Taiwan “are centered around the global outlook, which is strong only in the short term,” Kowalczyk of SJS said. “By late 2010 and early 2011 we see a double dip in G-3 economies, which will trigger a slowdown. This is bound to hit Taiwanese exports and reduce its growth rate in 2011.”

Taiwan’s currency climbed 0.3 percent to close at NT$32.1 against the U.S. dollar on Feb. 12, the last trading before the Lunar New Year holiday, according to Taipei Forex Inc. The benchmark Taiex index gained 1.1 percent, after surging 78 percent last year, the best performance since 1993. Taiwan’s financial markets will resume trading on Feb. 22.

Export Growth

Taiwan is aiming for 22 percent growth in exports in 10 markets this year, including China, India, Japan, Russia and Brazil, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said last month. The island’s statistics bureau forecast in November that exports would increase 15.4 percent this year.

Nanya Technology Corp. last month reported NT$211 million ($6.6 million) profit in the fourth quarter, after posting losses in the previous 10 quarters, as demand for computers rebounded and prices of semiconductors rose. Smaller rival Powerchip said Jan. 20 that its fourth quarter profit exceeded NT$1.6 billion.

Taiwan Semiconductor, the island’s biggest company by market value, plans record spending of $4.8 billion on equipment and factories this year after reporting fourth-quarter profit more than doubled to NT$32.7 billion.

Prime View International Co., the screen supplier to Sony Corp.’s Reader and Amazon.com’s Kindle e-book readers, plans to triple its capacity in the U.S. and China this year on rising orders, Chairman Scott Liu said in an interview last month.

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The Federal Reserve is in talks with money-market mutual funds on agreements to help drain as much as $1 trillion from the financial system as policy makers prepare for the first interest-rate increase since June 2006, according to a person familiar with the discussions.

The central bank is looking to the money-market mutual fund industry which manages $3.2 trillion in assets because the 18 so-called primary dealers that trade directly with the Fed have a capacity limited to about $100 billion, estimates Joseph Abate, a money-market strategist at Barclays Capital in New York.

Money-market funds may welcome the opportunity to trade with the Fed after the financial crisis reduced the supply of safe assets in which they can invest. In one example of demand for such assets, auctions on four-week Treasury bills have attracted an average of $5.47 in bids for every dollar sold this year, compared with an average of $3.77 last year, according to Bloomberg data. Yields on the four-week bill were quoted at four basis points at 3:47 p.m. in New York trading from 18 basis points a year ago.

“There are lots of great credit stories, but the option of going with the Fed and the government — it takes away part of the risk,” said Deborah Cunningham, a chief investment officer at Federated Investors Inc. in Pittsburgh, which manages $318 billion in money-market investments. Conversations with the Fed “seem pretty positive,” she said, adding that the Fed and the industry should be in a position to conduct operations before the end of the year.

Fannie, Freddie

Chairman Ben S. Bernanke yesterday charted ways the Fed might withdraw record monetary stimulus pumped into the economy to fight the recession. Among the central bank’s tools are reverse repurchase agreements, in which the Fed sells securities with the intention of repurchasing them at a later date.

The Fed is also considering reverse repurchase agreements with mortgage lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, said the person familiar with the discussions. Freddie Mac spokeswoman Sharon McHale declined to comment. Fannie Mae spokesman Brian Faith also declined to comment.

“To further increase its capacity to drain reserves through reverse repos,” Bernanke said, the Fed is “in the process of expanding the set of counterparties with which it can transact” beyond primary dealers of government securities.

The primary dealers, which are required to bid at auctions of Treasury notes and trade directly with the New York Fed’s markets desk, include BNP Paribas Securities Corp., Banc of America Securities LLC and Goldman Sachs & Co.

‘Extended Period’

Bernanke repeated yesterday that while interest rates are likely to stay low for an “extended period,” the Fed in “due course” will need to “begin to tighten monetary conditions to prevent the development of inflationary pressures paydayloan.”

The central bank has created more than $1 trillion in excess reserves in the banking system through its purchases of $300 billion of Treasury debt and $1.25 trillion of mortgage- backed securities. To put upward pressure on the federal funds rate, the Fed may need to drain as much as $800 billion, Abate estimates.

One potential tightening tool is the interest rate on reserves that commercial banks keep on deposit at the Fed. By raising that rate, the central bank “will be able to put significant upward pressure on all short-term interest rates,” Bernanke said.

The Fed can also use reverse repos to shrink the quantity of reserves, which in turn gives it “tighter control over short-term interest rates,” he said.

Risk for Fed

Fed officials face the risk that when they start to tighten policy by raising the rate they pay banks on reserves, other market rates may not follow. That would keep monetary conditions too loose in an expansion.

“They still seem nervous that they might not be able to control short rates, and if they can’t control short rates, how do they tighten?” said Mark Spindel, chief investment officer at Potomac River Capital LLC, which manages $200 million in Washington.

The Fed has sought to keep the benchmark rate in a range of zero to 0.25 percent since December 2008. The federal funds rate is now 0.13 percent, even though banks can earn 0.25 percent by keeping their money on deposit at the Fed.

One reason for the discrepancy is that Fannie and Freddie have become “significant sellers” of funds in the overnight market and aren’t eligible to place cash on deposit at the Fed, according to a December research paper by the New York Fed.

Some hurdles remain in the Fed’s efforts to secure bigger repo capacity. Fed officials and mutual-fund industry representatives are working on a structure that would allow funds to invest in relatively liquid assets that can be sold in seven days, while allowing the central bank to avoid having to renew billions of dollars in transactions each week.

“There needs to be liquidity,” said Cunningham of Federated. “A reverse repo contract is not considered to be liquid in the context of anything beyond seven days.”

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Canadian media luminaries Jerry Grafstein, Raymond Heard and Beryl Wajsman announced today they are leading a consortium of local investors to acquire Montreal’s The Gazette, The Ottawa Citizen and The National Post.

The group is in the process of filing a bid to buy the three dailies Canwest LP, a division of Canwest Global Communications Corp. The partners hope to be able to begin due diligence on the operating data in the next few weeks.

The consortium partners have received strong financial commitments from unspecified sources. They said additional participants in the consortium will be announced shortly.

“Our partnership represents a cross spectrum of engaged Canadians committed to a vigorous, independent media voice for the communities that each newspaper serves. We are encouraged by the positive response we have received from investors,” the three consortium partners said. “We are firm in our view that there remains a bright future for newspapers supported by creative web platforms.”

The offer may face an uphill battle. The papers are part of a larger chain of 11 publications, which is currently operating under bankruptcy court protection from creditors. The chain is being offered for sale as an intact group, not as individual publications.

The founding family, headed by Leonard Asper, chief executive officer of Canwest Global, has indicated it wants to keep the papers together. Asper has noted in a pre-filing letter that the newspaper chain and another Canwest property, the Global television network, benefit financially from being able to sell joint advertising space to major national advertisers.

As well, the newspaper group would somehow have to improve on the offer Canwest already has on hand from its secured creditors, led by Canada’s major banks. The creditors say they will pay $950 million for the chain, the amount they are owed by Canwest LP.

But the media consortium said today it believes the newspapers would benefit from local involvement that would produce timely, informative, well-written stories and grassroots journalism reflecting the priorities of Canada’s diverse communities. Each newspaper has a loyal and interested readership, which the consortium said it is confident can be broadened and deepened.

Grafstein is a former Senator and founder of CITY-TV in Toronto and other electronic and print enterprises in Canada, the U.S., Europe and Latin America. He retired from the Senate when he turned 75 — the mandatory retirement age — on Jan. 2.

Heard, a media consultant with major corporate clients, was White House correspondent and Managing Editor of the Montreal Star, editor of the London Observer News Service, and head of Global TV News, which is also owned by Canwest.

Wajsman, is editor of Quebec’s largest English-language weekly, publisher of the bilingual journal of political commentary, The Metropolitan, and was the producer and host of a Montreal radio news magazine program.

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European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet intensified pressure on Greece to cut the continent’s biggest budget deficit with a warning that the country won’t get any favors from policy makers.

As Prime Minister George Papandreou struggles to convince investors and European Union governments he can regain control of the country’s budget, Trichet yesterday said no nation can expect any “special treatment.”

“The central bank has clearly chosen to maintain its pressure on the Greek government, rather than easing the heightened tensions in bond markets,” said Laurent Bilke, a former ECB economist now at Nomura International Plc in London.

Greek bonds extended declines after Trichet’s comments, which came after the ECB left its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 1 percent. While Greece was his main target, Trichet told other euro members to take the “difficult decisions” needed to tackle “sharply rising” budget gaps or face higher borrowing costs that hurt economic growth.

The Greek remarks eclipsed those made on monetary policy as officials turn their attention from the financial crisis to the nations most hurt by the recession. German Chancellor Angela Merkel said in comments published yesterday that Greece’s fiscal woes could hurt the euro and Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean- Claude Juncker said International Monetary Fund aid wouldn’t be “appropriate.”

Collateral

Rating downgrades sparked a rout in Greece’s bonds in December as investors tuned into a budget deficit of 12.7 percent of gross domestic product, more than four times the European Union limit. The yield on the 2-year Greek note today rose 6 basis points to 3.559 percent, extending yesterday’s gain of 44 points.

Arguing that it has received enough of a benefit from euro membership, Trichet said the ECB won’t help Greece by delaying the reintroduction of its pre-crisis collateral rules at the end of 2010. Downgrades by Fitch Ratings, Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s have fanned concerns its bonds will be excluded from the ECB’s market operations.

“We will not change our collateral policy for the sake of any particular country,” Trichet said.

The subsequent selloff suggests the market “still harbors hopes that the ECB would abort its collateral decision,” said Elga Bartsch, chief European economist at Morgan Stanley in London guaranteed high risk personal loans. Juergen Michels, chief euro-area economist at Citigroup Inc., said the ECB will ultimately agree to rules “that do not put too much additional pressure on member countries.”

Short Shrift

Trichet also downplayed the importance of Greece for the euro region as a whole. While Greece makes up about 3 percent of the bloc’s GDP, 13 percent of the U.S. economy is accounted for by California, which is also suffering financial difficulties.

Those remarks drew short shift from Andrew Bosomworth, a former ECB economist and now head of portfolio management at Pacific Investment Management Co. in Munich. He warned Greece could still cause “contagion” to other economies with poor finances such as Portugal or Spain.

“While each of those countries in their own right may not be very big, or a threat to the euro area, if one of them were to go you have potential domino effect that could snowball into a big problem for the euro area,” Bosomworth said in a television interview yesterday.

Marco Annunziata, chief economist at UniCredit Group in London, said policy makers are playing a “nerve-wracking game of chicken” in the hope that their tough rhetoric will pressure Greece into action.

Budget Shortfall

“If a rescue turns out to be necessary, a rescue operation will be mounted,” Annunziata said.

In Athens, Papandreou yesterday pledged to “do whatever it takes” to rein in the budget shortfall and restore confidence in the country’s finances when he published the three-year budget plan.

The government’s latest proposals, to be presented to the European Commission today, call for about 10 billion euros ($14 billion) of spending cuts and revenue increases this year to bring the shortfall from 12.7 percent of output to 8.7 percent by year-end.

“Our country can and is obliged to exit as soon as possible this vicious circle of misery,” Papandreou said. “We will not retreat; we will proceed quickly.”

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A unit of Smith International Inc. has taken over a three-year contract with Petróleo Brasileiro, Brazil’s state-owned energy giant.

Houston-based Smith (NYSE: SII) will operate the Petrobras contract through its PathFinder Energy Services unit at its new facility in Macae, Brazil.

The deal represents possible revenue of between $80 million and $100 million business card design. PathFinder will also acquire all related directional drilling assets from San Antonio International do Brasil.

San Antonio International had previously been the lead contractor through which PathFinder had taken on contracts in that country, Smith officials said in a statement.

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Stocks ended a choppy session barely higher Wednesday, with the Dow and Nasdaq eking out fresh 2009 highs as investors mulled a stronger dollar and opted to play it cautious at the end of a tumultuous year.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added a few points, ending at the highest point since Oct. 1, 2008. The S&P 500 index (SPX) ended just above the unchanged line, closing just shy of 15-month highs hit two days ago.

The Nasdaq composite (COMP) added a few points, ending at the highest point since Oct. 3, 2008.

Stocks ended a volatile session modestly lower Tuesday, with the three major indexes breaking a six-session winning streak that had left the market at 15-month highs. That weakness spread into Wednesday’s session, the second-to-last trading day of the year.

A stronger U.S. dollar put some pressure on the market as well, dragging on commodity prices and stocks, and pulling down shares of companies that do a lot of business overseas and therefore benefit from a weaker dollar. After sliding for most of the year versus the euro and yen, the dollar has gained over the last few weeks as investors have bet that the economy is improving.

Trading volume has been low this week, with many market pros and individual investors on vacation. Lighter trading volume can cause increased volatility. All financial markets are closed Friday for the New Year’s Day holiday.

Year-to-date, the Dow has risen 20%, the S&P 500 has climbed almost 25% and the Nasdaq has gained 45%, as of Tuesday’s close. All three indexes have posted more substantial gains since falling to multi-year lows on March 9 amid the height of the financial crisis.

"I think the market seems to have ended the year on a slightly positive note, with many investors happy to lock in their profits and look ahead to the new year," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at RDM Financial Group.

Any stock market gains accrued next year are expected to be a lot milder, analysts say, as the government stimulus fades at the same time the slow-growing economy struggles to create jobs. Meanwhile, the consumer spending environment is expected to stay weak, the dollar could firm up and the Federal Reserve is expected to begin raising interest rates in the second half of 2010.

Sheldon said that 2010 could end up looking something like 2004, which proved to be a leveling year after the massive gains of 2003. 2003’s gains followed a three-year bear market.

The S&P 500 rose 26% in 2003, seesawed for the first nine months of 2004 and then managed a big run in the last quarter, ending the year up around 9%.

Sheldon said it wouldn’t be surprising to see the market churn or even selloff a bit in the first half of the year but eventually move back up to end the year with gains of 10% to 15%.

Other analysts are concerned that a bigger selloff could take hold, particularly if economists have been overly-optimistic about the economy’s ability to recharge once the fiscal and monetary stimulus starts to fade out.

"Right now the sentiment in the stock market is at bullish levels that haven’t been seen since 2007," said Matt Havens, wealth advisor at Global Vision Advisors. In October 2007, the S&P 500 and Dow industrials closed at all-time highs and the Nasdaq composite at the highest point since 2000.

"The underlying strength of the economy is uncertain going into the next year and the longer stocks keep moving higher, the greater the potential for a significant pullback," Havens said.

Economy: The Chicago PMI, a regional read on manufacturing, rose to 60 in December from 56.1 previously. The improvement was a surprise, with economists surveyed by Briefing.com expecting it to drop to 55.1.

Financials: Troubled auto and mortgage financing firm GMAC Financial Services is expected to receive a third round of bailout funds, according to a published report. GMAC is expected to get an additional $3.8 billion on top of the $13.5 billion it has already received since Dec. 2008.

World markets: Asian markets mostly ended lower. In Europe, London’s FTSE 100 lost 0.7%, Germany’s DAX lost 0.9% and France’s CAC 40 lost 0.6%.

Commodities and the dollar: COMEX gold for February delivery fell $5.60 to settle at $1,092.50 an ounce. Gold closed at an all-time high of $1,218.30 an ounce earlier this month.

U.S. light crude oil for February delivery rose 41 cents to settle at $79.28 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.79% from 3.80% late Tuesday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners by eight to seven on volume of 645 million shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners seven to six on volume of 1.31 billion shares. 

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The Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates at a record low this week. The big question is whether Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues will hint about when they will reverse course and start boosting rates.

Plans for reeling in the unprecedented amount of money the Fed has plowed into the economy to bolster the recovery are likely to dominate discussions during the two-day meeting, which started on Tuesday afternoon. The Fed is expected to announce its policy decisions later today.

The central bank faces a high-stakes challenge: If it removes the stimulus too soon, it could short-circuit the fragile recovery. But if it moves too late, it could unleash inflation or new speculative asset bubbles.

A new report out Tuesday showed that wholesale prices shot up last month, but most economists think it will prove fleeting payday loan lenders.

Wholesale prices jumped 1.8 percent in November, lifted partly by more expensive energy products, the Labor Department said. That was up from a 0.3 percent gain in October and marked the largest one-month increase since August.

Stripping out energy and food, closely watched "core" prices rose 0.5 percent, the biggest increase in more than a year.

Meanwhile, the Fed reported that industrial production jumped 0.8 percent in November from October, the largest gain since August. Even with the stronger-than-expected showing, activity is still down 5.1 percent from a year ago, showing that the industrial sector is far from running at top speed.

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There will be mixed feelings within the University at Buffalo athletic department following the dpearture of head football coach Turner Gill to the University of Kansas.

The Bulls will be sorry to see the coach who lifted the program from the depths of Division I-A to a conference champion depart. Yet, Gill's exit to the Big 12 school is testament to the job he did at UB.

Gill will be officially introduced as the Kansas coach Monday after accepting the Jayhawks' offer over the weekend. UB, meanwhile, has elevated offensive coordinator Danny Barrett to interim head coach while launching a national search for a successor to Gill.

“Today is a day that creates many mixed feelings,” said a statement from Director of Athletics Warde Manuel. “I am saddened to see Turner leave us as he has done an absolutely fantastic job of building our football program to unprecedented success upon a value system that we can all be proud of. That being said, I am extremely happy for Turner and his family that they have been granted this opportunity Low fee payday loans.”

He added that Barrett is a candidate for the UB position and is the only internal staff member that will be considered.

Gill led Buffalo to its first Division I conference championship and bowl appearance in the program’s history when the Bulls won the Mid-American Conference championship game in 2008 and later played in the International Bowl in Toronto. The Bulls compiled an overall record of 20-30 during Gill’s tenure, including a 14-18 record in the MAC, after recording a 7-49 record in their first seven seasons in the league prior to his arrival.

Gill was named the 23rd head coach in school history on Dec. 16, 2005, taking over a program that had won just 10 games in its first seven years as a Division I-A member.

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Some of the economists who anticipated the U.S. job market would see marked improvement in November now project job gains are around the corner, and possibly in the rearview mirror.

Payrolls fell by 11,000 workers, while the unemployment rate dropped to 10 percent. Jobs were forecast to decline 125,000, according to the median estimate of 82 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Estimates ranged from decreases of 30,000 to 180,000.

The drawdown in inventories and rising corporate profits are the most compelling reasons for payrolls to begin showing sustainable increases as soon as this month, these economists said. What’s more, the recent trend of upward revisions will probably continue, signaling the worst employment slump in the postwar era may have already ended.

“We could see a positive number for November next month,” said Stefane Marion, chief economist at National Bank Financial Inc. in Montreal, whose forecast of a 30,000 payroll drop was the closest. “Firms now are beginning to redeploy some of their cash flows” by hiring new workers, he said.

Revisions added 159,000 jobs to payroll figures previously reported for October and September, a report from the Labor Department showed yesterday in Washington. The previous month’s report added 91,000 for September and August.

Profits, Inventories

Corporate profits climbed 21 percent from January through September, the biggest three-quarter gain in five years, while inventories plunged at a record pace, according figures from the Commerce Department. Leaner stockpiles set the stage for recovery in production.

“If you run down your inventories hard, you also cut your labor force,” said Peter Possing Andersen, an economist at Danske Bank A/S in Denmark who projected a decline of 50,000 jobs for November. He said the ramp up in production means the manufacturing industry, which has cut workers for the past two years, may stabilize and begin hiring in “a couple of months.”

Still, some economists say that even if November’s figures are revised into positive territory, payrolls may not have reached their low point yet. “Revisions lately have been in the favorable direction,” said Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse in New York who forecast a 50,000 drop in payrolls. “We shouldn’t take that as evidence that we’re at the bottom.”

The improving labor market indicates the deepest U.S. recession since the 1930s may have ended, said the head of the group charged with making the call.

Yesterday’s report “makes it seem that the trough in employment will be around this month,” Robert Hall, who heads the National Bureau of Economic Research’s Business Cycle Dating Committee, said in an interview.

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